Statistical analysis
A comprehensive analysis of The Sophomore Jinx in biathlon
As I have mentioned previously on the Penalty Loop Podcast (, S, G), I generally have lower expectations of any kind of athlete in their second season, especially when they had a strong rookie season. Despite some exceptions, when an athlete transitions from their rookie to their second season, things change. In the first season everything is exciting and new, and there isn’t too much expectation. And even if there is, being a rookie is an acceptable excuse if things don’t work out right away. After season one, the realization starts to kick in that this – in the end-… Read More »A comprehensive analysis of The Sophomore Jinx in biathlon
It’s Crystal, shaped like a Globe. The ultimate goal.
The Crystal Globes are handed out to biathletes who, at the end of the season, have scored the most points in all non-team events combined (Overall), and for each discipline (Sprint, Pursuit, Individual and Mass Start). This post analyses the Globes in the last 25 seasons based on a Trigger request by Kristen K. Globe Winners Over the last 25 seasons, from 1998/99 to 2022/23, we had 50 Overall Globe winners, split between women and men. The visual below shows that nine of those not only won the Overall Globe, but also the four Discipline Globes in that season. Tora… Read More »It’s Crystal, shaped like a Globe. The ultimate goal.
Where Biathlon Nations rank, based on individual race results in the last six seasons
I have to admit this post-season-break had me away from biathlon a little longer than anticipated ( I blame it all on Jordan’s family having a new member in their family!). The good part is that I’m again fully loaded for some new articles and triggers! I started a new project during the season and put it away until the season was over, and it started with the Trigger description: “We know that the Norwegians are a dominant force on the IBU World Cup, but when we look at the number of participants for each rank in the last six… Read More »Where Biathlon Nations rank, based on individual race results in the last six seasons
Historic biathlon results create expectations. But what about points?
The W.E.I.S.E. has a new and more detailed measure for performance based on historic results: EXpected Points
What do you expect? Practical applications of the W.E.I.S.E.
Practical applications to further explain the W.E.I.S.E. and demonstrate its potential value in performance analysis in biathlon
Introducing W. E. I. S. E: the Win Expectancy Index based on Statistical Exploration, version 1
An introduction and explanation of the Win Expectancy Index based on Statistical Exploration, or W.E.I.S.E. for short, for biathlon.
Peak age for biathletes at the World Cup level
Looking at calculated points, athletes and race participants to determine the peak age for biathlon athletes.
Analyzing the strength and depth of Biathlon Nations
Although it is fair to say that the top Nations in biathlon are pretty clear, I wanted to look a little deeper and see which Nations were strong in the last five seasons, which ones have been getting stronger, and what ‘smaller’ Nations have been looking upward.
Who were the best performing biathletes at the Beijing Olympics?
Looking at Olympic performance improvements in biathlon
Rallenta Lisa; the athlete with 2 faces
Slow down Lisa! Looking at additional ways beyond the mental issue to get her back on track in her first shooting.
Cool ways to measure and display ski speed in biathlon
This article makes an attempt to review and recommend different ways to measure and display ski speed in biathlon for die-hard and casual fans
A continued exploration of shot data
A continued exploration of shot data, based on a twitter conversation with Bjorn Ferry
Is One Shot Like Any Other In Relays In Biathlon?
This article looks at the hit rates per shot in biathlon relays, shooting pressure and relay tactics.
Is one shot like any other in biathlon?
Can shooting percentages be directly related to shooting pressure? And are all shots equal? Let’s find out.
Looking back at Oestersund through data
With Oestersund coming to a close, it is time to review the Women’s individual performances based on the race data.
